Germany vs Paraguay Prediction, Odds & Best Bets for World Cup 2026
Germany Look Like Title Contenders. Paraguay Believe They Can Be the First to Stop Them.
The group stage is over.
Mistakes are no longer recoverable.
Germany arrive in the Round of 32 with maximum points after winning all three group matches, scoring eight goals while conceding just one. Julian Nagelsmann's side has looked among the tournament's most complete teams, combining high pressing with clinical finishing.
Paraguay's route has been far more demanding. They progressed from Group D after beating Australia, drawing with the United States and narrowly losing to the hosts. Gustavo Alfaro's team has been one of the tournament's most disciplined defensive sides, making them a difficult opponent despite entering as clear underdogs.
Germany is the better team.
Paraguay has the profile of a team capable of making life uncomfortable for any favourite.
Germany vs Paraguay Quick Facts
Competition
FIFA World Cup 2026 – Round of 32
Date
June 29, 2026
Kick-off
21:30 UTC
Venue
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, USA
Winner Plays
France or Sweden in the Round of 16
Group Stage Results
Germany Group Stage
Germany 2-0 Ecuador
Germany 3-1 Ivory Coast
Germany 3-0 Curaçao
Paraguay Group Stage
Paraguay 2-1 Australia
Paraguay 1-1 United States
Paraguay 0-1 Australia
Key Team News
Germany has no major injury concerns. Jamal Musiala has recovered fully after being managed during the group stage.
Paraguay are expected to field their strongest XI, with captain Gustavo Gómez returning after suspension.
Best Bet
Germany to Win & Under 4.5 Goals
Predicted Score
Germany 2-0 Paraguay
Why This Match Is More Competitive Than The Odds Suggest
Germany deserves its favourite status.
But Paraguay is exactly the type of opponent that frustrates elite teams.
They defend deep.
They rarely lose their shape.
They concede very few clear chances.
Germany will likely dominate possession for long stretches, but breaking Paraguay down is very different from controlling the game.
This could become a patience test rather than a goal fest.
Team Form Analysis
Germany
Nagelsmann has built one of the tournament's most balanced teams.
Germany presses aggressively, controls possession and creates chances from multiple areas rather than relying on one star.
Strengths
High pressing.
Midfield control.
Excellent squad depth.
Dangerous from set pieces.
Weaknesses
Can leave space behind attacking full-backs.
Occasionally vulnerable to quick counterattacks.
Paraguay
Alfaro has transformed Paraguay into one of South America's hardest teams to break down.
They defend in compact lines and wait patiently for mistakes.
Strengths
Defensive organisation.
Physical centre-backs.
Dangerous from corners and free kicks.
Excellent work rate.
Weaknesses
Limited creativity.
Few clear chances from open play.
Often spends long periods without possession.
Team News, Injuries & Predicted Lineups
Germany
Nagelsmann is expected to keep faith with the side that comfortably won the group. Florian Wirtz and Jamal Musiala continue to provide creativity behind the striker, while Joshua Kimmich dictates the tempo from midfield.
Predicted XI
Germany
4-2-3-1
Marc-André ter Stegen
GK
Joshua Kimmich
DEF
Jonathan Tah
DEF
Antonio Rüdiger
DEF
Maximilian Mittelstädt
DEF
Robert Andrich
MID
Pascal Groß
MID
Florian Wirtz
ATT
Jamal Musiala
ATT
Leroy Sané
ATT
Niclas Füllkrug
ST
Paraguay
Captain Gustavo Gómez returns to strengthen the defence after missing the final group match through suspension.
Predicted XI
Paraguay
4-4-2
Carlos Coronel
GK
Juan Cáceres
DEF
Gustavo Gómez
DEF
Omar Alderete
DEF
Blas Riveros
DEF
Andrés Cubas
MID
Mathías Villasanti
MID
Diego Gómez
MID
Miguel Almirón
MID
Julio Enciso
ATT
Antonio Sanabria
ATT
Players Who Could Decide The Match
Jamal Musiala
Bayern Munich, Bundesliga
Germany's most unpredictable attacker.
His ability to beat defenders in tight spaces could unlock Paraguay's low block.
Best markets
Anytime Goalscorer
Goal or Assist
Over Shots on Target
Florian Wirtz
Liverpool, Premier League
Wirtz has been Germany's creative engine throughout the tournament.
His vision between the lines is exactly what Germany needs against compact defences.
Julio Enciso
Brighton & Hove Albion, Premier League
Paraguay's biggest attacking threat.
His pace on the counter could punish Germany if they overcommit.
Gustavo Gómez
Palmeiras, Brazil Série A
One of South America's best defenders.
His duel with Füllkrug could define the match.
Tactical Battle
Germany will dominate possession.
Paraguay will defend with two compact banks before looking for transitions through Enciso and Almirón.
The key battle is between Germany's creative midfielders and Paraguay's disciplined defensive block.
If Germany scores early, the game changes completely.
If Paraguay survives until half-time, frustration may become Germany's biggest opponent.
The Hidden Betting Angle
Many bettors expect Germany to score three or four.
Paraguay rarely allows that.
Alfaro's teams are built to stay organised even against elite opposition.
That makes combination markets involving Germany winning without a high-scoring game particularly attractive.
Betting Guide & Current Odds
Odds provided by our partners from 1Bet. Odds are subject to change before kick-off. Always verify the latest prices before placing your bet and always gamble responsibly.
Germany are strong favourites at approximately 1.35.
Paraguay is available around 9.00, while the draw after 90 minutes is priced near 4.80.
Expert Betting Tips, Tricks & Strategies
Germany to Win & Under 4.5 Goals
This provides stronger value than backing Germany outright.
Why?
Germany controls matches rather than chasing huge scorelines.
Paraguay has one of the tournament's better defensive records.
Knockout football naturally produces more cautious performances.
Jamal Musiala Anytime Goalscorer
Musiala has been Germany's most dangerous attacker between the lines.
Against a packed defence, his dribbling ability could prove decisive.
Germany to Win to Nil
Paraguay creates relatively few chances from open play.
Germany has conceded just once all tournament.
Under 10.5 Corners
Germany often finishes attacks with shots rather than crosses.
Paraguay spends long periods defending centrally, limiting corner opportunities.
Editor's Choice
Germany to Win & Under 4.5 Goals
This offers the best balance between probability and value.
Why?
Germany has looked among the tournament favourites.
Paraguay's organisation should prevent a high-scoring game.
Germany possesses significantly greater attacking quality.
Knockout matches often become more controlled after the opening goal.
Predicted Score
Germany 2-0 Paraguay
Germany vs Paraguay FAQs
Who is favourite to win Germany vs Paraguay?
Germany enters the Round of 32 as one of the tournament favourites after winning all three group matches.
What is the best bet?
Germany to Win & Under 4.5 Goals offers the strongest combination of value and probability.
Which player is most likely to score?
Jamal Musiala remains Germany's most dangerous attacking player and the best anytime goalscorer selection.
Can Paraguay upset Germany?
Yes, but they will likely need to keep the match scoreless deep into the second half and capitalise on limited counterattacking opportunities.
What is the predicted score?
Germany 2-0 Paraguay.
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